Monday, July 04, 2005

July 2005

Huricane Dennis UPDATE.
11 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005
DENNIS IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER A COOL EDDY...BUT IS
EXPECTED TOMOVE BACK OVER WARMER WATER IN 12-18 HOURS.
THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEARIS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW AND
THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUITE IMPRESSIVE.
THE SSTS AHEAD OF DENNIS ARE WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE UP UNTIL LANDFALL...
SO THE ONLY INHIBITING FACTOR IS IF THE INNER-CORE
STRUCTURE DOES NOT REGAIN ITS ORIGINAL STRUCTURE.
BUT GIVEN THAT THE EYE DIAMETER IS ONLY10-15 MILES...
IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH CONVECTION TO DEVELOP AROUND THE
EYE FOR DENNIS TO MAKE A SIGNIFICANT COMEBACK IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME.MORE

New Updates...We are going to sit this one out. The
reorganization and fast movement has sped up the track.
Sunday will be too dangerous.We will be sticking around
St. Augustine and catching the outer wind
bands that will create 15-20 knot wind speeds...

Max

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